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Asia View🌏
The Spillover of Israel-Gaza Conflict
Written by Priyanka Garodia, Geopolitical Research Analyst – South Asia
The ongoing conflict between Israel and Gaza, which escalated dramatically following the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, has had profound and far-reaching implications not just for the immediate region but for the entire world. As Israel’s military operations continue in Gaza, the impact of this conflict extends beyond the Middle East, reaching South Asia and other parts of the world. The role of regional players, particularly Pakistan, has garnered attention, given the complexities of the situation. Haniyeh, a senior leader of Hamas, was killed in Tehran, which has added to an already tense situation in the middle east. Lebanon has also extended support to Palestine and is fighting a low-grade war with Israel through the Houthis.
Regional Tensions and Global Spillover
The conflict has exacerbated existing tensions in the Middle East, leading to significant geopolitical shifts and increasing the risk of wider regional instability. Israel’s military operations, which have resulted in substantial civilian casualties, have drawn condemnation from the entire world, given its lack of humanitarian aid to the people of the Gaza Strip. However, Israel’s actions, viewed by many as disproportionate and aggressive, have also stirred tensions in South Asia, where there is significant concern about the broader implications of this conflict. South Asia, home to several countries with vested interests in the Middle East, has reacted strongly to the crisis. The region’s geopolitical dynamics, particularly those involving Pakistan, are being closely watched as the conflict intensifies. Pakistan, a key player in the Muslim world, has historically been vocal about its stance on Palestine, consistently supporting the Palestinian cause at international forums.
Pakistan’s Stance on the Israel-Gaza Conflict
Pakistan’s position on the Israel-Gaza conflict is shaped by its historical support for Palestine and its broader geopolitical interests. Pakistan does not recognize Israel and has consistently condemned its actions in the Palestinian territories. The latest escalation with Iran has reinforced Pakistan’s support for Palestine, with the government and political leaders strongly condemning the Israeli military operations in Gaza.
In the wake of the October 7 attack and subsequent Israeli response, Pakistan’s stance has been clear. The Pakistani government has condemned the violence and called for an immediate cessation of hostilities, emphasizing the need for a peaceful resolution to the conflict. Pakistan’s response is also influenced by its domestic political landscape, where support for Palestine is widespread. The country’s political leaders, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and opposition figures, have expressed solidarity with the Palestinian people. Large-scale protests have been held across Pakistan, with demonstrators calling for an end to the violence and urging the international community to take action against Israel’s military operations.
Israel’s Aggressive Actions and Regional Instability
Israel’s military response to the Hamas attack has been widely criticized for its intensity and the resulting humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza. The aggressive military strategy has escalated tensions in the region and drawn condemnation from countries worldwide. Israel’s actions, viewed by many as those of a regional bully, have led to a surge in anti-Israel sentiment across world and beyond.
The conflict has also raised concerns about the potential for a broader regional war, particularly given the involvement of other actors such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and the possibility of Iranian intervention. Israel’s attacks on sovereign territories, including strikes in Syria and alleged operations in Iraq, have further destabilized the region. Iraq, already a volatile state, has found itself in a precarious position, with its government and militias opposing Israel’s actions while also dealing with internal challenges.
The potential for the Israel-Iran conflict to worsen is particularly concerning. Iran, a staunch supporter of Hamas and Hezbollah, has warned of severe consequences if Israel’s military actions continue. The involvement of Iran, a powerful regional actor with significant military capabilities, would have dire implications for regional and global stability. Such an escalation could lead to a broader conflict that draws in other regional powers and possibly even global superpowers, with catastrophic consequences.
The Impact on South Asia
The conflict’s spillover effects are being felt in South Asia, where countries like Pakistan are closely monitoring the situation. Pakistan’s stance on the conflict is influenced not only by its historical support for Palestine but also by its geopolitical considerations, including its relations with key regional players like Iran and Saudi Arabia.
Pakistan’s relationship with Iran is of particular importance in the context of the Israel-Gaza conflict. While the two countries have had a complex relationship, characterized by cooperation and competition, the current situation in Gaza has brought them closer together in their opposition to Israel’s actions. Pakistan has expressed solidarity with Iran’s stance on the conflict, and there have been discussions between the two countries on the need for a coordinated response to the crisis.
The conflict has also strained Pakistan’s relations with the United States, which has been a key ally of Israel. The U.S. has provided military aid to Israel and has supported its right to defend itself, a stance that has been met with criticism from Pakistan and other Muslim-majority countries. Pakistan’s criticism of U.S. support for Israel could potentially strain bilateral relations, particularly at a time when Pakistan is seeking international support for its economic challenges. This has also resulted in increasing closeness between Pakistan and China.
The Broader Implications for South Asia and Beyond
The ongoing conflict between Israel and Gaza has highlighted the interconnectedness of global geopolitics. The situation in the Middle East has direct implications for South Asia, particularly for countries like Pakistan, which have a significant stake in the region. The conflict has also underscored the fragility of regional stability and the potential for local conflicts to escalate into broader wars with global consequences.
For Pakistan, the conflict presents a challenge in balancing its domestic and international interests. While the government has taken a strong stance in support of Palestine, it must also navigate its relationships with the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Iran. The conflict has the potential to reshape Pakistan’s foreign policy, particularly if it leads to a realignment of alliances in the region. One must also note that this comes at the wake of a severe economic crisis.
The situation in Gaza is dire, and the potential for the conflict to escalate further is a significant concern. If the Israel-Iran conflict were to worsen, it could have catastrophic consequences not only for the Middle East but also for South Asia and the broader world. The international community must take urgent steps to de-escalate the situation and prevent a broader conflict that could have devastating implications for global stability.
Conclusion
The Israel-Gaza conflict has far-reaching implications for regional and global stability. Israel’s aggressive military actions have drawn widespread condemnation and have heightened tensions across the Middle East. The potential for a broader regional conflict, particularly involving Iran, is a significant concern. Pakistan’s stance on the conflict, shaped by its historical support for Palestine and its geopolitical interests, reflects the broader concerns of South Asia. The conflict’s spillover effects are being felt in the region, where countries are closely monitoring the situation and assessing its potential impact on their own security and stability. As the conflict continues, the need for a peaceful resolution becomes ever more urgent. The international community must work together to address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, prevent further escalation, and seek a long-term solution to the conflict that ensures peace and stability in the Middle East and beyond.
Af-Pak De/Cypher
Economy
Maersk’s $2bn Investment Set to Transform Port Infrastructure: Minister
Business Recorder reports that Danish shipping giant Maersk plans to invest $2 billion in Pakistan’s port and transport infrastructure over the next two years. Minister for Maritime Affairs Qaiser Ahmed Sheikh announced the investment, which is seen as a significant boost for Pakistan’s economy. The deal, facilitated by the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC), includes a memorandum of understanding between Maersk and Karachi Port Trust, with operations expected to begin after the minister’s visit to Denmark. This investment is expected to enhance export capabilities and create growth opportunities within Pakistan’s maritime sector.
China’s BYD Plans Car Plant in Karachi as Part of Pakistan Entry
The News International reports that Chinese electric vehicle giant BYD has announced its entry into the Pakistani market with plans to establish a car production plant in Karachi. Partnering with Mega Motors, BYD will also introduce three electric vehicle models in the country by the fourth quarter of 2024. The new plant, slated to begin operations in 2026, marks a significant investment in Pakistan’s automotive sector, aiming to enhance the nation’s green technology and export potential. Fast-charging stations will be installed across major cities and highways to support this initiative.
Businesses, Rights Defenders Decry Pakistan Internet Slowdown
The Business Times reports that Pakistan’s government has been slowing down Internet services, allegedly to test a national firewall aimed at increasing surveillance and censoring dissent. This disruption, which has reduced network speeds by up to 40%, is believed to target the opposition party of jailed leader Imran Khan. Business leaders warn that the slowdown could cost the IT sector up to $300 million, harming Pakistan’s economic prospects. Activists have raised concerns about the impact on free speech and digital rights in the country.
Pak Envoy in UAE Urges Community Members to Support Legal Banking Channels
The Associated Press of Pakistan reports that Pakistan’s Ambassador to the UAE, Faisal Niaz Tirmizi, encouraged the Pakistani community in the UAE to use legal banking channels for sending remittances. He highlighted the importance of this during an event titled “HUNDI PE WAAR” in Dubai, organized by Index Exchange. Tirmizi praised the event for raising awareness among the diaspora and urged continued support for legal remittances to benefit Pakistan’s economy.
Internal Politics
Health Dept Starts Mpox Screening at Karachi Airport
Faiza Ilyas reports in Dawn that the Sindh health department has initiated mpox (monkeypox) screening at Karachi’s Jinnah International Airport following the detection of a confirmed case in the country. The department has issued advisories to healthcare institutions, providing guidelines on infection control and patient management. The Pakistan Medical Association has urged the government to enhance contact tracing and isolation efforts to prevent the spread of the disease, which is currently a global health emergency.
Pakistan Arrests Former Spymaster for Military Trial
Ayaz Gul writes in VOA that Pakistan has detained retired General Faiz Hameed, the former head of the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), for court-martial on charges of abuse of office, corruption, and breaches of army regulations. Hameed’s arrest, following a Supreme Court inquiry, is a significant and unprecedented move. The case has political implications, given Hameed’s close ties with former Prime Minister Imran Khan.
Pakistan Taking Steps to Integrate Climate Resilience into National Planning – Official
Arab News Pakistan reports that Pakistan is incorporating climate resilience into national planning, according to Romina Khurshid Alam, the Prime Minister’s Coordinator on Climate Change. The government aims to align national adaptation plans, environmental policies, and water management strategies to address climate risks. This move follows severe climate-induced weather events that have raised concerns about food security and agricultural exports.
PDMA Says More People Die in Punjab Than in KP Due to Monsoon Rains
Omar Asif reports in Samaa News that the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) reported 189 deaths and 333 injuries across Pakistan due to heavy monsoon rains between July 1 and August 17, 2024. Punjab experienced a higher death toll compared to Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP). The rains also caused significant damage to property, including the destruction of over 2,000 houses and damage to multiple schools and bridges.
Five Bullet-Riddled Bodies Found Tied to Electric Pole in Balochistan
Aaj News reports that the bodies of five individuals were discovered tied to electricity poles in the Chagai district of Balochistan. The victims, found near the western bypass in Dalbandin, were shot dead. Local law enforcement, including levies, transferred the bodies to a civil hospital, and their identities were later discovered.
Pakistan’s Jailed Ex-Premier Khan Files Papers to Run for Oxford University Chancellorship
Aamir Latif Arain reports in Anadolu Agency that Pakistan’s former Prime Minister, Imran Khan, has submitted his nomination papers to contest for the chancellorship of Oxford University. Currently imprisoned in Rawalpindi, Khan’s nomination was announced by his party, PTI. Khan, an Oxford alumnus, previously served as chancellor of the University of Bradford from 2005 to 2014.
Gunmen Kill Senior Government Administrator in Southwest Pakistan
AP News reports that gunmen ambushed and killed Zakir Baloch, a senior government administrator, in the Mastung district of Balochistan, Pakistan. Two others were injured in the attack. The assailants fled the scene, and no group has claimed responsibility. Balochistan, a region rich in minerals and gas, has seen frequent militant attacks linked to a long-running insurgency.
Seven Terrorists Killed, Five Injured in Kurram Operation: ISPR
The Express Tribune reports that Pakistan’s security forces killed seven terrorists from the Fitna Al Khawarij group during an intelligence-based operation in Kurram district, Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa. Five other terrorists were injured, and a significant cache of weapons was recovered.
Afghanistan Update
Taliban Marks Three Years of Rule and Sharia Law in Afghanistan
Reuters reports that the Taliban marked three years of rule in Afghanistan with a large military parade at Bagram Air Base. The group’s supreme leader, Haibatullah Akhundzada, declared Afghanistan as an Islamic sharia-based state, reinforcing the strict implementation of sharia law. Despite some economic improvements, the country remains in a severe humanitarian crisis, worsened by restrictions on women’s rights and reduced international aid.
Pakistan Says Nearly 700,000 Afghans Deported Since Expulsion Drive Launched Last Year
Arab News Pakistan reports that Pakistan has deported 691,853 Afghan nationals residing illegally in the country as part of a deportation drive initiated last year. The drive, which followed a spike in suicide bombings attributed to Afghan nationals, has drawn criticism from international rights organizations. Pakistan, which previously hosted over four million Afghan refugees, claims the repatriation is voluntary and aims to reduce strain on national resources.
Uzbek Prime Minister Visits Afghanistan in Highest-Level Visit Since Taliban’s Takeover
AP News reports that Uzbek Prime Minister Abdulla Aripov visited Afghanistan, marking the highest-level visit by a foreign official since the Taliban regained power in 2021. Aripov’s delegation discussed strengthening trade and bilateral relations with Taliban leaders, resulting in the signing of five trade and investment agreements. The visit also included the inauguration of an exhibition of Uzbek products, indicating improved relations between the neighbouring countries.
Islamic Emirate’s Prime Minister Makes First Visit to UAE
TOLOnews reports that Mullah Mohammad Hassan Akhund, the Prime Minister of the Islamic Emirate, made his first foreign visit to the United Arab Emirates, meeting with President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan. The visit focused on strengthening bilateral relations and the UAE’s support for Afghanistan’s reconstruction. The visit was also described as a health examination for the Prime Minister.
WFP Welcomes $330M Aid for Afghanistan
TOLOnews reports that the World Food Program (WFP) welcomed $330 million in aid for Afghanistan, including $280 million from the United States and £50 million from the United Kingdom. This aid will assist over five million people in the country, providing emergency food assistance to those in need. However, the ongoing economic crisis has left 23.7 million Afghans in need of humanitarian aid, with citizens calling for job creation and a shift towards development assistance to combat poverty and food insecurity.
Five Afghan Nationals Found Shot Dead and Hanged Near Pakistan-Iran Border
Khaama Press reports that five Afghan nationals from Lashkar Gah, Helmand province, were found shot dead and hanging from power poles in the Chagai area of Balochistan, Pakistan, near the Iranian border. The victims’ bodies were moved to a morgue in Quetta, and investigations are ongoing. No group has claimed responsibility, and there are concerns that the victims were former Afghan security personnel.
Taliban and Chinese Partner Restart Copper Project, Reigniting Worries
Nikkei Asia reports that the Taliban and China Metallurgical Group Corp. have resumed the long-delayed Mes Aynak copper-mining project in Afghanistan. Concerns have arisen over potential environmental damage and the destruction of historical relics at the site, which lies along the ancient Silk Road and hosts significant Buddhist ruins. The lack of independent oversight and proper waste management has heightened fears of pollution, particularly to water supplies in the region.
Bangladesh De/Cypher
Economy
Foreign Investment Inflow Falls 8% in Jul-Mar FY24
Tonmoy Modak writes in The Business Standard that Bangladesh’s net foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow decreased by 8.37% year-on-year in the first nine months of FY24. The decline is attributed to factors like profit repatriation challenges, volatile exchange rates, and downgraded credit ratings by international agencies. The FDI drop from $2.41 billion to $2.21 billion reflects investors’ decreased confidence in the country’s macroeconomic stability.
Internal Politics
Students Back to Classes After More Than a Month
The Daily Star reports that all educational institutions in Bangladesh, including universities, reopened today after more than a month of closure due to student-led protests. The reopening caused severe traffic congestion in Dhaka. Public universities resumed operations amid administrative vacancies following the resignation of numerous officials.
Govt to Cover Medical Expenses of Injured Protesters
The Daily Messenger reports that the Ministry of Health in Bangladesh announced that the government will bear all medical expenses for individuals injured during the anti-discrimination student movement. Free treatment will be provided in public hospitals, and private hospitals are urged not to charge fees for treating these injuries. The government has also formed a committee to investigate the casualties related to the movement.
Wahiduddin Mahmud, Ali Imam, Fouzul Kabir, Jahangir Alam Set to Become Advisers
Prothom Alo reports that four new advisers—economist Wahiduddin Mahmud, former cabinet secretary Ali Imam Mazumder, former secretary Fouzul Kabir Khan, and Lt Gen (retd) Jahangir Alam Chowdhury—are expected to join Bangladesh’s interim government led by Dr Muhammad Yunus. These appointments will bring the total number of advisers to 21.
Hasina Among 48 Sued for Killing Youth in Narayanganj
The Business Post reports that a case has been filed against former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, Awami League General Secretary Obaidul Quader, and 46 others for their alleged involvement in the killing of a youth, Abul Hasan, during clashes in Narayanganj on August 5. The victim’s brother, Abul Bashar, lodged the complaint, accusing the leaders of orchestrating the violence that led to Hasan’s death.
Former Military Officer Ziaul Ahsan Arrested
Dhaka Tribune reports that former military officer Ziaul Ahsan, who was recently sacked as the director general of the National Telecommunication Monitoring Centre (NTMC), was arrested in the Khilkhet area of Dhaka. The arrest occurred late Thursday night based on secret information, following his dismissal on August 6. Ahsan had a long career in the Bangladesh Army and served in various intelligence roles, including the Rapid Action Battalion (RAB) and the Directorate General of Forces Intelligence (DGFI).
626 Took Shelter in Cantonments After Aug 5: ISPR
Jago News reports that 626 individuals, including politicians, judges, and police personnel, sought refuge in cantonments across Bangladesh following the fall of the Sheikh Hasina government on August 5. According to ISPR, 615 have since left voluntarily, with four handed over to law enforcement. The military provided protection to prevent extrajudicial actions and maintain the rule of law. Currently, seven people, including three individuals and their family members, remain sheltered.
Health Ministry Issues Mpox Alert in Bangladesh
New Age reports that Bangladesh’s health ministry has issued a high alert for mpox (formerly monkeypox) amid its spread in several African countries. Although no cases have been detected in Bangladesh, authorities are taking proactive measures to prevent the disease from entering the country. Guidelines are being prepared for airports, river routes, and other points of entry.
Bangladesh and the World 🌐
Young People, Students Were Attacked Mercilessly by Govt Forces: Chief Adviser Dr Yunus Tells Foreign Diplomats
TBS News reports that Dr Muhammad Yunus, Chief Adviser of the interim government, condemned the brutal attacks on students and young people by government forces during the quota reform movement. Speaking at a briefing with foreign diplomats, Yunus described the severe injuries inflicted, including students losing their eyes to rubber bullets. He honoured their sacrifices, stating no other country’s students have endured such suffering for their democratic rights.
Prof Yunus Assures Modi of Protecting Minorities
The Daily Star reports that Chief Adviser Prof Muhammad Yunus assured Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi of his interim government’s commitment to safeguarding all citizens, including minorities, in Bangladesh. In their first conversation, Yunus emphasized that reports of attacks on minorities have been exaggerated and invited Indian journalists to visit Bangladesh. Modi congratulated Yunus on his new role and reaffirmed India’s support for a democratic and peaceful Bangladesh, expressing a desire to work closely with the interim government.
Bangladesh Ambassadors Asked to Return Home from Seven Countries
New Age reports that Bangladesh’s foreign affairs ministry has ordered ambassadors from the United States, Russia, Germany, Japan, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and the Maldives to return home. The government is expected to appoint new ambassadors to these key nations soon. This move is part of a broader reshuffle amid the ongoing political changes in Bangladesh. Ambassadors have been instructed to leave their current postings, and further changes in diplomatic assignments are anticipated.
Visit Dhaka Soon, Otherwise You May Miss Something Important: Yunus
Daily Country Today reports that Interim Government Chief Adviser Professor Muhammad Yunus urged global leaders to visit Dhaka, highlighting the vibrant creativity of the youth in the city. Speaking at the third “Voice of Global South Summit,” Yunus emphasized the importance of placing youth and students at the heart of strategies for the Global South.
Student Protest: UN Team to Fly in Next Week to Probe Atrocities
The Daily Star reports that the United Nations will dispatch a fact-finding mission to Bangladesh next week to investigate atrocities committed during recent student-led protests. UN human rights chief Volker Türk announced the mission during a call with Chief Adviser Prof Muhammad Yunus, marking the first UN-led investigation of its kind in Bangladesh since its independence.
UK PM Congratulates Dr Yunus
Somoy News reports that British Prime Minister Keir Starmer extended congratulations to Professor Dr Muhammad Yunus on his appointment as Chief Adviser to Bangladesh’s interim government. In his letter, Starmer acknowledged the bravery of students and citizens who stood firm during recent turmoil in Bangladesh. He expressed the UK’s commitment to working with the interim government to ensure a peaceful transition towards an inclusive and democratic future, highlighting the strong and enduring relationship between the two nations.
Unwise for UK to Give Refuge to ‘Despot’ Hasina: MP Rupa Huq
bdnews24 reports that British Bangladeshi MP Rupa Huq stated it would be unwise for the UK government to grant refuge to former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who is rumoured to be travelling to the country. In an opinion piece in the London Evening Standard, Huq criticized Hasina’s regime, citing the recent violent student-led protests in Bangladesh and the charges against her in the International Criminal Court. Huq argued that Hasina should return to Bangladesh to face charges rather than seeking asylum in the UK.
UNDP Reaffirms Support to Bangladesh Interim Govt
Daily Sun reports that UNDP Administrator Achim Steiner has expressed the organisation’s strong commitment to supporting the interim government of Bangladesh. Steiner congratulated Chief Adviser Professor Muhammad Yunus, emphasizing UNDP’s readiness to assist in the nation’s transition towards a peaceful, just, and democratic future.
Rest of World
Kim, Putin vow deeper North Korea-Russia ties
In a message to President Vladimir Putin, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un reaffirmed his commitment to deepening cooperation with Russia. The message arrived as Pyongyang commemorated its independence from Japan’s colonial rule, according to the KCNA state news agency. (Yahoo)
US renews support for Myanmar opposition
The United States promised to continue supporting Myanmar’s democratic opposition after China approved the ruling military junta’s transition plans. Two senior US officials met virtually with the shadow National Unity Government, which is mostly made up of lawmakers who were ousted in a 2021 coup, as well as key ethnic rebel groups such as the Karen National Union. (The Star)
Vietnam’s top policeman added to Communist Party’s Politburo
The Central Committee of the Vietnam Communist Party voted on Friday to add the police minister to the party’s Politburo, the country’s most powerful decision-making body, according to the government. The promotion of Minister of Public Security Luong Tam Quang, 58, is part of the party’s personnel reshuffle for the 2021-2026 term, according to a government statement. The Politburo now has fifteen members. (Reuters)
Paetongtarn Shinawatra becomes Thai prime minister after royal signoff
Paetongtarn Shinawatra, the daughter of Thailand’s divisive former leader Thaksin Shinawatra, became prime minister on Sunday after receiving a royal letter of endorsement, two days after being chosen by Parliament in response to a court order that removed her predecessor. (AP News)
